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Getting Started in Currency Trading

Michael D. Archer · 2008 · 306 pages

This is a mechanics manual, not a trading system: pip values, margin math, and broker vetting are worked out in real numbers you can copy. The one framework it does offer for managing risk, the Trade Campaign Method, is an account-survival rule, not a source of profit.

The one idea

The book exists to get a total beginner from zero to a funded, correctly sized first trade. It walks through what a pip is worth on every major pair, how margin and leverage relate, how to vet a broker-dealer, and how to read a trade confirmation, all with real numbers plugged into real formulas rather than abstractions.

On top of that mechanical foundation, Archer offers a loose 'toolbox' of his own trading concepts: Market Environments (rating a chart's directional movement, volatility, rhythm, thickness, and shape), the Dagger Entry (wait for a 25 percent correction against the major trend, then enter when price resumes), and the Trade Campaign Method for sizing risk. None of these are presented as a single validated system. They are offered as heuristics the reader assembles into a personal method.

The money management chapter is the closest thing to a spine: pick a trader profile (guerilla, scalper, day trader, or position trader), split your grubstake into three campaigns of ten trades each, risk a fixed dollar amount per trade, and don't touch the parameters until all thirty trades are done. That structure, not any chart pattern or indicator, is what the book actually wants you to walk away using.

What it actually teaches

Archer's Trade Campaign Method (Chapter 15) is the book's one concrete, sequential procedure for sizing risk before you trade.

  1. SET YOUR GRUBSTAKE

    Decide how much trading capital you're risking, separate from a mini or micro account (which should hold no more than $500). Archer's worked example uses $3,000 as trading capital you can afford to lose entirely.

  2. SPLIT IT INTO THREE CAMPAIGNS

    Divide the grubstake into three equal, imaginary pots (in the example, $1,000 each). Losing campaign #1 doesn't end the account; you regroup and move to campaign #2.

  3. FIX THE RISK PER TRADE

    Allocate each $1,000 pot to ten trades, risking a set $100 per trade. The stop-loss is calculated in advance as the pip value equal to that $100, using the profit/loss formulas from Chapter 6.

  4. SET THE PROFIT TARGET FROM YOUR PROFILE

    Work backward from your trader profile's profit-to-loss ratio. A scalper profile targets a 3:1 ratio, so a $100 stop pairs with a $300 profit objective; a day trader profile targets 4:1.

  5. SIZE THE POSITION TO HIT THE PIP GOAL

    Use your profile's pip gain goal (30 pips for a scalper, 60 for a day trader) to calculate how many units you need to buy or sell to turn that pip move into the dollar profit target. Do not reset or adjust the campaign schedule until all three campaigns (30 trades total) are complete.

What it looks like Monday morning

A reader who takes this seriously stops trading ad hoc and instead writes down a trader profile (most new traders should pick scalper or day trader, per Archer's own recommendation) with a fixed pip gain goal and profit-to-loss ratio attached to it. They run the Chapter 6 formulas by hand once for the specific pairs they actually trade, so they know their real pip value and margin requirement before the first order goes in, rather than trusting the platform's calculator blindly.

They also split their account into three campaigns of ten trades with a fixed dollar risk per trade, and commit to not touching the risk parameters until all thirty trades are done. That's a real behavioral change from typical new-trader habits (moving stops, doubling size after a loss), even though the book offers no evidence that the 3:1 or 4:1 target ratios it recommends are achievable in a live market.

The Trade Campaign Method applied to a $3,000 account
CampaignTradesProfit objectiveStop loss
#110$300$100
#210$300$100
#310$300$100

Archer's day trader example: each trade risks a fixed $100 stop against a $300 target (a 3:1 ratio), and the schedule isn't adjusted until all 30 trades across the three campaigns are finished.

Do not expect to hit 80 percent winning trades with a 10:1 ratio of winners-to-losers.Michael D. Archer, Getting Started in Currency Trading

Where it fails

  • The toolbox has no track record attached to it. Market Environments, the Dagger Entry, Pretzels, and Bathtub Analysis (Chapters 12 and 16) are all presented as Archer's or his mentor Charles Goodman's personal heuristics. None come with a win rate, an equity curve, or a backtest over a stated period. The reader is asked to trust that these tools work because the author says they've worked for him.
  • The broker and regulatory chapters are frozen in 2008. Chapter 7's 'Big Three' broker list and the leverage ratios used throughout the calculation examples (20:1, 50:1, even higher) predate the CFTC's 2010 rule capping US retail forex leverage at 50:1 on majors and 20:1 on other pairs. A reader using this book's leverage assumptions to size a US-regulated account today will be wrong.
  • The Trade Campaign Method is never stress-tested against a real losing streak. Archer's own worked examples (a scalper winning 6 of 12 trades, a day trader winning 4 of 12) show favorable outcomes. Elsewhere in the book he mentions personally hitting '16 consecutive lemons' in the late 1970s, but that scenario is never run through the campaign math to show what happens when a real drawdown front-loads onto campaign #1.
  • Fundamental analysis material predates the crisis it should have anticipated. Chapter 10 covers interest rates, balance of trade, and central bank intervention as they operated before the 2008 financial crisis and the zero-rate, quantitative-easing period that followed reshaped how those same inputs move currency pairs.
  • Bathtub Analysis is offered as a real research method, not a joke. The book's own description of its idea-generation process is 'take a few dozen charts with you the next time you bathe... two fingers of a good single-malt scotch also works.' That's presented straight, immediately followed by 'if it holds up, drill down on a few dozen charts,' with no discussion of overfitting or the need for out-of-sample testing.

Who it is for

Buy it if

You have never opened a forex account and want the actual mechanics: pip values, margin and leverage formulas, order types, and a broker vetting checklist, worked in real numbers you can copy. It's also useful if you want a simple, fixed-risk framework (the Trade Campaign Method) to keep a first small account from blowing up.

Skip it if

You're looking for a tested trading edge or a backtested system; this book explicitly doesn't offer one. Skip it too if you already know pip and margin math, since roughly two-thirds of the page count is broker selection, glossary-level definitions, and appendices of currency codes and time zones.

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