All titlesDay Trading

Winning the Day Trading Game

Thomas L. Busby · 2006 · 224 pages

Busby, a DTI trading-school founder, hands you a discipline checklist dressed up as a method: trade fixed time windows, respect round-number pivots, scale out in thirds. The discipline is sound. The 'key numbers' that supposedly drive entries are unfalsifiable pattern-matching on round numbers.

The one idea

Busby's system rests on three legs: time, numbers, and a scaling exit. He divides the trading day into three 'trade zones' (9:00-10:15 AM, 12:30-1:15 PM, 2:15-2:45 PM Central) built around when volume and volatility are highest, and he deliberately sits out the dead zone between 10:15 AM and 12:30 PM. Layered on top are 'key numbers', round or historically sticky price levels (round hundreds for stocks, quarter points for the Dow, numbers ending in 2, 7, or 9 for the S&P) that he treats as support and resistance for entries, stops, and profit targets.

The execution wrapper is his 'three Ts': tick, trade, trend. He buys a block of contracts or shares and sells it off in three pieces, a few ticks of profit on the first third, two or three points on the second third, and lets the final third ride the daily trend with a trailing stop. The idea is to bank enough on the first two exits to finance a risk-free ride on the last piece.

Risk control is the book's actual strength: a hard daily loss limit (a 'tilt number', in dollars or a percentage of account balance, capped at no more than 10 percent of the account in a day), a mandatory protective stop on every trade, and behavioral circuit breakers like three losing trades in a row ending the trading day. None of this is a source of edge. It is a way to survive while you look for one.

What it actually teaches

Busby's routine runs in this order every trading day.

  1. SET YOUR TILT NUMBER BEFORE YOU TRADE

    Fix a dollar amount or percentage of account balance you can lose in a day without it bothering you, and never exceed it. Busby caps this at 10 percent of account balance in any single day; below that is your call. When you hit it, you stop trading for the rest of that 24-hour period, no exceptions.

  2. RECORD YOUR KEY NUMBERS BEFORE THE OPEN

    Write down the prior day's high, low, and 12:30 PM price, the overnight (Globex) high and low, the 3:30 AM S&P number and the 6:00 AM DAX number, plus the yearly, monthly, and weekly opening prices. On the Dow Futures, expect major support or resistance at each 00 and 50 and minor levels at 25 and 75. On the S&P Futures, watch round hundreds and numbers ending in 2, 7, or 9.

  3. TRADE ONLY INSIDE THE THREE TRADE ZONES

    Busby's windows, all Central time: 9:00-10:15 AM, 12:30-1:15 PM, and 2:15-2:45 PM. He avoids 10:15 AM to 12:30 PM (volume dries up) and 1:30-2:00 PM, which he calls the 'Grim Reaper' for its sudden counter-trend reversals. He also has a standing rule never to open a new short position between 12:30 and 1:00 PM.

  4. ENTER AND SCALE OUT IN THIRDS (THE THREE TS)

    Buy or sell a block of contracts or shares. Take the first third off for a few ticks of profit (roughly three-quarters of a point to a point on S&P futures, 30 to 50 cents on stocks). Take the second third off at the next key number, typically two or three points out (50 to 70 cents on stocks). Hold the final third with a trailing stop and try to ride the daily trend, which he pegs at an 11 to 16 point average daily range on the S&P Futures.

  5. PLACE A PROTECTIVE STOP ON EVERY ENTRY, NO EXCEPTIONS

    Never trade without a hard stop; mental stops don't get executed under stress. Busby uses four stop types (arbitrary, volatility-based, key-number-based, or a combination that picks whichever of the three is tightest) and caps a single trade's loss at one-third of the market's average daily range.

  6. RUN THE TWO-MINUTE TIMER

    Set a two-minute clock the moment you enter. If your first profit target hasn't hit by then, reassess the trade against your indicators; if the signs have turned against you, exit rather than wait it out.

  7. ENFORCE THE CIRCUIT BREAKERS

    Three losing trades in a row: stop trading for the day. Three losing days in a row: stop trading for the week. These are on top of the tilt-number rule, not instead of it.

What it looks like Monday morning

A reader who follows this book literally starts writing down opening prices (yearly, monthly, weekly, daily) and a short list of round-number levels before the market opens, and confines new trades to three fixed windows instead of watching a screen all day. That alone fixes overtrading for most beginners, since it makes 'no trade' the default outside three narrow slots.

The bigger change is behavioral: a written dollar or percentage loss limit that ends the trading day the moment it's hit, a stop-loss order attached to every single entry before it's placed, and a rule to stop entirely after three straight losers. None of that requires believing the key-numbers thesis; it's just enforced discipline, and it's the part of the book worth keeping even if you throw out the rest.

Busby's three trade zones (Central time)
ZoneWindowWhy
Zone 19:00 AM - 10:15 AMPost-open volatility has settled but volume is still high
Zone 212:30 PM - 1:15 PMPost-lunch reset; market reverses or accelerates the morning move
Zone 32:15 PM - 2:45 PMPre-close positioning as traders liquidate ahead of the 3:15 PM S&P close

He avoids 10:15 AM-12:30 PM for low volume and flags 1:30-2:00 PM as the 'Grim Reaper' for sudden counter-trend reversals.

Manage your risk first and worry about your profits second.Thomas L. Busby, Winning the Day Trading Game

Where it fails

  • The core method is unfalsifiable pattern-matching. Busby never explains why numbers ending in 2, 7, or 9 should matter on the S&P, or why the Dow should specifically respect quarter-points. He offers observation ('I noticed this over time') as the entire justification. Round numbers act as psychological anchors in most liquid markets for well-documented reasons unrelated to any special property of 2, 7, or 9; the specific digit list reads as overfitting to whatever he happened to watch in the early 2000s, and the book supplies no out-of-sample test of it.
  • Every concrete price example is now market history, not usable levels. The book's numbers, S&P 1213.50 as the 2005 yearly open, oil crossing $50 a barrel in 2004, the Dow's 10,000 crossing in 1999, are two decades stale. The 'key numbers' the book teaches you to trust are index levels from a market that traded at a fraction of today's price and volatility regime; nothing here transfers to current contract prices without redoing the entire observation process from scratch.
  • The trade zones and average daily ranges are dated to a market structure that no longer exists. Busby cites an S&P Futures average daily range of 11 to 16 points and describes open-outcry pit dynamics ("amateurs open the market and professionals close it") from a period before high-frequency and algorithmic trading dominated intraday volume. Post-2010 market microstructure, decimalization, and the shift to near-continuous electronic trading have changed where volume and volatility cluster during the day; the specific clock times in this book were fit to a market that traded very differently.
  • Every worked example in the book is a winner. Every named trade the book walks through in detail, the Fed Day short on May 3, 2005, Big E's oil reversal, the doctor who turned $20,000 into a half-million in 90 days, ends in profit. There is no worked example of a key-number trade that failed, no losing three Ts sequence walked through step by step. A method's real test is what happens when it's wrong, and this book never shows you that side of its own system.
  • The book assumes capital, screens, and paid data the reader may not have. Busby describes running multiple monitors, a proprietary RoadMap software subscription, and a real-time data feed as baseline requirements, on top of the futures margin capital itself ($1,000 minimum per e-mini contract intraday, $4,500 to hold overnight, as of this edition). None of that is optional to running his method as described, and none of it is included with the book.
  • DTI's own trading school is the undisclosed commercial interest behind the book. Busby is the founder of Trading Educators/DTI (Day Trading Institute), and the book repeatedly points toward his classes, his chat room, and his RoadMap software as the way to actually execute the method ("I highly recommend that you obtain some training before you start trading"). The book functions in part as a funnel into a paid course, which should color how much weight you give its claims about what the method can do.

Who it is for

Buy it if

You're a brand-new futures or stock day trader who needs a structured daily routine and hasn't yet internalized hard loss limits, mandatory stops, or the discipline to stay out of low-volume hours. Read it for the risk-management chapters and the trade-zone concept of confining activity to high-liquidity windows, and ignore the key-numbers thesis as anything more than a round-number heuristic.

Skip it if

You already have a stop-loss discipline and a daily loss limit, or you're looking for a tested, quantifiable edge. The key-numbers system is not backtested anywhere in the book, every specific price level is from 2004-2005 and useless today, and the worked examples are cherry-picked winners. You will not find an executable trading system here, only a decent risk-management checklist wrapped in memoir.

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